Discussion Zen 5 Speculation (EPYC Turin and Strix Point/Granite Ridge - Ryzen 9000)

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soresu

Platinum Member
Dec 19, 2014
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Something to bear in mind, AMD may have had loftier targets for Zen5, but after enacting security risk mitigations they may have lost some of the expected perf.

This is an issue that has for the large part been shelved from conversation, but new security bugs in x86 and ARM CPU cores are cropping up at least every year now, so it wouldn't surprise me if one or more of them kneecapped the project, at least in the short term of this generation.
 

roger_k

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Sep 23, 2021
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GB database has almost no controls and way too much noise. When Anandtech was giving us reviews every gen with Spec numbers, that was way more reliable. Unfortunately that is going away but I’d still take a known reviewer’s numbers over trying to get something trustworthy out of the GB data base.

Which is why compares across multiple results to quantify uncertainty. It works, even if the individual results are unreliable. There is no doubt that Anandtech results are more accurate per measurenment, they are still a single number which fails to capture the variability inherent to these tests. As I wrote on my previous post, just a slight fluctuation in operating frequency (which Andrei didn't sample and didn't report) can introduce a large relative error to IPC measurenments, making any comparison you do usig point estimates moot.

Besides, there is cross-device variability as well. To get a robust result you'd want measurenments of many different devices instead of repeated measurenments of the same device.

I think these internal measurements be it powermetrics or the internal API geekerwan used are fine for measuring directional shifts *maybe* in CPU power, and just maybe, but overall they’re not that valuable.

We definitely lack reliable tools to measure power consumption. Combine this with the fact different vendors report power consumption in different ways and it makes is very difficult to compare efficiency across devices.

To clear this up, I confirmed with someone who I believe can read Chinese (from Chips n Cheese discord) the reason for the different power figures we see — and indeed the 3.62W iPhone A17 Pro result & 7W M4 result — are because those were software modeled power using Apple’s internal APIs.

My issue is that I am seeing very different numbers for A17 Pro reported by Apple APIs. I am an admirerer of Geekerwan's work, at the same time I feel like many of their reviews are rushed without proper analysis or methodology. The ~ 3.5W per core is close to what I'd expect of an average hybrid CPU workflow. That is not the peak CPU core power consumption as reported by powermetrics. But 7W for M4 is pretty much the peak (it goes higher, but the CPU doesn't sustain that for more than a fraction of a second) — at least on my personal devices.

By contrast, Geekerwan has physically measured the A17 Pro (via removing battery and polling) and the power results are 5.7W minus all idle static/display.

Which is very close to what I see on my iPhone with powermetrics.

I don’t believe M4 is doing 7W total at 4.4GHz ish (minus idle) by any means, it’s just bad software measurement. And given what we know about the iPhone measurements — the software 3.62W vs physically sampled 5.7W - a factor of like 57%, the true M4 system consumption being 11W ballpark makes total sense over the 7W as was measured by a leaker.

The 7W figure is not total, it's P-core consumption (sans uncore, RAM or anythign else). 11-13W platform at peak makes perfect sence to me.
 
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So Chadmont aside how does Zen 5 stack up against Intel's new P core?
Knowing Intel, they will use up a lot of transistors to beef up the execution resources of their P-core. If they are able to learn well enough from the MTL lesson, they could end up having a pretty competitive overall performance against Zen 5, in almost everything except AVX-512.
 
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SpudLobby

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May 18, 2022
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It was around 5 watts for M1, it is around 7 watts for M4. Let's say 50% increase. Looks bad on paper, until we remember that these are sub 10 watt cores. I'd say they have a problem once they need to raise the wattage past 12 watts per core. Until then they are fine.
Agree here. Apple pushing power is still a long ways from the levels Intel and AMD have or rather Intel did with their stagnation, because Apple is starting from a better base and can’t go too far anyway

Which is why compares across multiple results to quantify uncertainty. It works, even if the individual results are unreliable. There is no doubt that Anandtech results are more accurate per measurenment, they are still a single number which fails to capture the variability inherent to these tests. As I wrote on my previous post, just a slight fluctuation in operating frequency (which Andrei didn't sample and didn't report) can introduce a large relative error to IPC measurenments, making any comparison you do usig point estimates moot.

Besides, there is cross-device variability as well. To get a robust result you'd want measurenments of many different devices instead of repeated measurenments of the same device.



We definitely lack reliable tools to measure power consumption. Combine this with the fact different vendors report power consumption in different ways and it makes is very difficult to compare efficiency across devices.



My issue is that I am seeing very different numbers for A17 Pro reported by Apple APIs. I am an admirerer of Geekerwan's work, at the same time I feel like many of their reviews are rushed without proper analysis or methodology. The ~ 3.5W per core is close to what I'd expect of an average hybrid CPU workflow. That is not the peak CPU core power consumption as reported by powermetrics. But 7W for M4 is pretty much the peak (it goes higher, but the CPU doesn't sustain that for more than a fraction of a second) — at least on my personal devices.
To be clear, the inconsistency part I was highlighting was namely that it is just measuring the CPU with software. I think you get that and acknowledge it but as you know, people tend to get antsy and won’t pay attention, haha. But yeah, the difference between the figures is just physical platform vs software CPU.

Agree Geekerwan is confusing at times.
Which is very close to what I see on my iPhone with powermetrics.
Oh I believe it ya
The 7W figure is not total, it's P-core consumption (sans uncore, RAM or anythign else). 11-13W platform at peak makes perfect sence to me.
Yeah I know that. I’m implying it! think it makes total sense too. I’m saying we need to be conscious of that, because at least directional attempts at even comparisons are good, and now I’m seeing 3.62W and 7W being quoted @ Arm phones and QC laptops both measured from platform, and while Apple is meaningfully ahead — we’re seeing almost comically ridiculous comparisons being made even by people who frankly are biased against them, it’s just a mess.


But also I just wanted to clear up where the different numbers were coming from since you wondered. I thought it might be some Spec weird BS — they just up and decided to change their methodology for Apple products but only when reviewing them alone and not comparing to other vendors. Which is fair — it’s easier this way for them and offers some interesting CPU-only estimates, except I think it’s kind of sudden and virtually no one got that memo.

Also didn’t mean to say software measurement is bad for Apple cores themselves, don’t want to rehash that and I think I’d concede it seems fine.
 
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DrMrLordX

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It feels to me like Zen5 as we see it today isn't the same Zen5 that was in the planning room three years ago. It seems like there were two plans: one plan for a successful roll-out of N3 and another that was a backup designed for N4. It looks like everything is getting the backup core. Not knowing how Zen5c behaves, I have no idea how it's going to shake out on N3.
That doesn't explain OEMs leaking super mega awesome SPECInt numbers.
 

PJVol

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I'm the one here who said there would have to be a Zen 5+ when TSMC 3nm becomes available in large quantities. The reason for it. Arrow Lake on 20A. Most people forget that Intel has a major node shrink coming. No more fake Intel generations. The efficiency gains by Intel will force AMD to move to 3nm before Zen 6. Wikipedia says that Zen 5 will be based on the fancy N4X. I doubt that. It was N4 and then N4P and now they say N4X. It's not 3nm but N4X is supposed to be the hotrod of 5nm silicon. I know they call it 4nm but it's still made on the 5nm process. They use 4nm to signify the advances in power, efficiency and density for more advanced cores than what standard 5nm can do.

The good news for AMD. They are releasing Zen 5 in July. They can say they are the market leader again in all segments for at least 3 or 4 months. A Zen 5+ (node shrink) would give AMD a big efficiency boost regardless of what Arrow Lake does in performance and efficiency. In my book, a CPU that sips power is better than a power hog performance queen. The caveat with Arrow Lake, they have a big efficiency jump coming with 20A. Intel has said 18A will bring a further 10% efficiency boost. The more advanced variant of 3nm TSMC silicon (not N3) will give AMD the efficiency to keep pace or better Intel.

will arrow lake actually release high-end models? all recent "intel node shrinks" i.e. "core ultra" have been weird low/mid-end models needing abysmal wattage to reach OK bench numbers
 
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Phoronix tests may also be a lot more revealing, if an updated compiler is required to get the best out of Zen 5. I do wonder if we'll need to wait for that or if compilers will have the necessary optimizations all ready to go before Zen 5 review day.
 
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ToTTenTranz

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but this feels like a backstab from Microsoft

"Backstabbing AMD" is Microsoft's middle name. It's happened so many times it's hard to keep count.
A part of me wishes for AMD to reach a point in time where they can just tell Microsoft to REDACTED off.



When was the last time we saw a mid/high-end APU from AMD with such a small proportion dedicated to the iGPU?
How much would it cost for them to put 16MB LLC for the iGPU in there? Or even just 8MB. Even more considering the fact the performance delta for the 6 enabled WGPs will probably be close to zero.

Profanity is not permitted in the tech forums

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Hans Gruber

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will arrow lake actually release high-end models? all recent "intel node shrinks" i.e. "core ultra" have been weird low/mid-end models needing abysmal wattage to reach OK bench numbers
The K models (unlocked multipliers) will have 125w TDP. The regular Arrow Lake CPU's will be 65w TDP. Zen 5 will be neck and neck with Arrow Lake with regards to power consumption. That's why 3nm would have given Zen 5 a decent edge in efficiency.
 

poke01

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Mar 8, 2022
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The 9950X should be productivity beast in applications that make use of AVX-512.

I’ll be waiting on Pugetbench benchmarks and of course for SPEC from anandtech and Geekerwan.

I don’t really for gaming benchmarks on the non-3D parts.
 

HurleyBird

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Apr 22, 2003
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C&C on Xitter has a better shot of STX:
View attachment 100409

And with annotations by Nemez:
View attachment 100410

Interesting. Zen5c looks less dense relative to Zen5 than Zen4c is to Zen4. And it Feels like it's not a coincidence that Zen5c and Zen5 are pretty much the same the same width now. But since we know the c and non-c cores can coexist in the same CCX (eg. Pheonix 2), and CCXs can now go up to 16 in the Zen5 generation, I just have a hard time understanding this layout.

On the one hand, why not put all 12 cores on the same CCX?

And on the other, why not turn those middle Zen5c cores around and place them on the 16MB CCX with the big cores? Better performance, especially for games that scale well to 8 cores, which is a lot of them. Meanwhile the remaining 4 Zen5c cores on the 8MB CCX would still be more than sufficient for light and background tasks.
 

tsamolotoff

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May 19, 2019
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hype train -> 16% "geomean" disappointment
Same happened for Zen4 (and probably Zen3 too). I remember AMD released one number 13% something-something that caused the same crowd to implode (after hyping the release to death (in case of zen4)). Don't get the gloom, it's basically the same process, area size hasn't changed much, also there is no information on how bad it will OC/ work with RAM. Judging from very strange Intel slides (2c ulp vs 4c, PPW regression with increased package power) with no comparisons to the competitors' products, AMD isn't really in danger, if that's what people care about. I'd say Sierra Forest and its successors are more of a threat to AMD as compared to anything hybrid.
 
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And on the other, why not turn those middle Zen5c cores around and place them on the 16MB CCX with the big cores? Better performance, especially for games that scale well to 8 cores, which is a lot of them. Meanwhile the remaining 4 Zen5c cores on the 8MB CCX would still be more than sufficient for light and background tasks.
I've advocated for P-cores and E-cores being really close neighbors in close proximity to each other or even next door neighbors with shared caches ever since the Alder Lake hybrid crap started. In the case of Zen5c, I suspect that it may not be technically or economically viable to mix and match cores created using different nodes with different densities on the same CCX. There might be ways to do that and who knows, maybe AMD and TSMC are in the research phase for that right now.
 

biostud

Lifer
Feb 27, 2003
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The K models (unlocked multipliers) will have 125w TDP. The regular Arrow Lake CPU's will be 65w TDP. Zen 5 will be neck and neck with Arrow Lake with regards to power consumption. That's why 3nm would have given Zen 5 a decent edge in efficiency.
And also why they use it for zen5c.

But if they can't get high enough clock speeds compared to the mediocre IPC gains or it will be too costly using 3nm, then it is probably why they stick with 4nm.
 
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