Discussion Zen 5 Speculation (EPYC Turin and Strix Point/Granite Ridge - Ryzen 9000)

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Doug S

Platinum Member
Feb 8, 2020
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Some parts of SPEC can be vectorized without changing sources with recent versions of non vendor compilers.

Can you point to the particular SPECint benchmark, what compiler will do it, and how much it improves the score? Now SPEC*fp* I can believe, especially the Fortran code, but I could care less how well a compiler will handle Fortran code, or really floating point code in general. That's much less relevant to latency dominated / interactive type performance that forms most people's impression of whether "this PC is slow" or not.

But this is once again the reason I primarily pay attention to gcc/llvm/clang subtests in SPECint and Geekbench rather than the overall score. You aren't going to speed that subtest up with SIMD to any degree, not even if you could hand code it. And to those who object "how often do you compile stuff" that's not the point. The type of work those compilers perform is a fairly good representation of code you see in a lot of modern computing, from handling the GUI, to processing XML/HTML/CSS/etc. in a browser, to other programming/scripting languages like Javascript/Perl/PHP. If you want to know how well a CPU does processing PHP then run a PHP benchmark. If you want to know about its all around integer performance, not dominated by any one factor, not relying on SIMD and other extensions, and not overly influenced by either very large caches or high frequencies, the gcc/llvm/clang subtest is what you want.

People can feel free to disagree, but take they should take their argument to Linus Torvalds. He holds the same position, and would provide a much better defense of it than I. If they can convince him, I'll be convinced too. I've seen people try, and he's demolished them in hilarious fashion every time.
 

itsmydamnation

Platinum Member
Feb 6, 2011
2,863
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Who is going to upgrade for 16% gains or whatever it turns out to be? If we wait for 9950X3D it'll probably be a nice upgrade.

So it is time to be patient.
From Zen3 which is my main desktop it will still be a very big jump.

im far most interested in 1T or low T performance so what that is for Zen5 is entirely unclear to me right now.
 
Jun 4, 2024
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From Zen3 which is my main desktop it will still be a very big jump.

im far most interested in 1T or low T performance so what that is for Zen5 is entirely unclear to me right now.
I don’t know, I have 5950x, and 9950x will be something like 33% uplift on average. Not interesting to me for ~$1200 with mobo and ram. I was hoping AMD would continue the steep core count ramp, but they took the greedy path and only upgraded their most expensive parts (and jacked up threadripper prices). They’re turning into old intel and Nvidia.
 

itsmydamnation

Platinum Member
Feb 6, 2011
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I don’t know, I have 5950x, and 9950x will be something like 33% uplift on average. Not interesting to me for ~$1200 with mobo and ram. I was hoping AMD would continue the steep core count ramp, but they took the greedy path and only upgraded their most expensive parts (and jacked up threadripper prices). They’re turning into old intel and Nvidia.
should be more like 45-48% in 1T .

zen3 -> zen4 ipc 1.09 * zen4 -> zen5 ipc 1.16 -> zen3 -> zen5 clock ~ 1.17 = ~ 1.48
 

Thunder 57

Platinum Member
Aug 19, 2007
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I don’t know, I have 5950x, and 9950x will be something like 33% uplift on average. Not interesting to me for ~$1200 with mobo and ram. I was hoping AMD would continue the steep core count ramp, but they took the greedy path and only upgraded their most expensive parts (and jacked up threadripper prices). They’re turning into old intel and Nvidia.

I don't see how they go past 16C without getting Z5c cores. Since they are on different nodes they couldn't do that. It would've been pointless to make Z5c on N4P as well for what would be a niche product at best. Then you would also have people complaining about "C core spam" just like "E-core spam" was a buzz phrase for awhile.
 

Thunder 57

Platinum Member
Aug 19, 2007
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This thread is still moving at hype train speeds so excuse me if this has been brought up already. What is up with AMD using considerably lower base clock speeds and TDP's?

I've read two theories. One, AMD checked out this article and saw higher TDP's were largerly useless. Second, those base clocks have to account for full AVX512, which is well known to limit clock speeds on Intel chips. Therefore those are worst case base clocks and when not running AVX512 they should stay closer to the boost clocks.
 

CouncilorIrissa

Senior member
Jul 28, 2023
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This thread is still moving at hype train speeds so excuse me if this has been brought up already. What is up with AMD using considerably lower base clock speeds and TDP's?

I've read two theories. One, AMD checked out this article and saw higher TDP's were largerly useless. Second, those base clocks have to account for full AVX512, which is well known to limit clock speeds on Intel chips. Therefore those are worst case base clocks and when not running AVX512 they should stay closer to the boost clocks.
I'm leaning towards the second one. Full 512-bit width AVX-512 implementation will likely chug power (if it's anything like Skylake-X)
 

H433x0n

Golden Member
Mar 15, 2023
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Who is going to upgrade for 16% gains or whatever it turns out to be? If we wait for 9950X3D it'll probably be a nice upgrade.

So it is time to be patient.
Realistically a ~15% performance increase is not worth spending money to upgrade unless you have a specific bottleneck that needs to be addressed.
 

Markfw

Moderator Emeritus, Elite Member
May 16, 2002
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Realistically a ~15% performance increase is not worth spending money to upgrade unless you have a specific bottleneck that needs to be addressed.
1) unless that number is low
2) Unless you depend heavily on avx-512 and its a lot faster in this version.

So, at least 2 good reasons. Talk to me in 2-3 months.
 
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lightmanek

Senior member
Feb 19, 2017
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Realistically a ~15% performance increase is not worth spending money to upgrade unless you have a specific bottleneck that needs to be addressed.
Luckily for AMD, I always have specific bottlenecks I want addressing.

I'm the sort of a person jumping from i7 4770k to i7 4790k or Ryzen 7 3700X to Ryzen 7 3800XT ...
Tinkering with new stuff is fun!
But I agree, no sane person not caring about desktop PCs should move for just 16% uplift, but I have a feeing this is only part of the story and we might be surprised by efficiency gains on top of IPC gains.

I want to see this new family compared to predecessors in ECO mode, should be fun!
 

inquiss

Member
Oct 13, 2010
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I don’t know, I have 5950x, and 9950x will be something like 33% uplift on average. Not interesting to me for ~$1200 with mobo and ram. I was hoping AMD would continue the steep core count ramp, but they took the greedy path and only upgraded their most expensive parts (and jacked up threadripper prices). They’re turning into old intel and Nvidia.
It's a vey vocal and very, very tiny minority who wants the increase in core counts on the consumer platform. Just look at sales for the current 16c. Appreciate you say you need it, but it's not really AMD being stingy, it's more like no one would buy them. So why bother? To use it you need more memory channels, why lumber the majority with these higher costs?
 

Thunder 57

Platinum Member
Aug 19, 2007
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Luckily for AMD, I always have specific bottlenecks I want addressing.

I'm the sort of a person jumping from i7 4770k to i7 4790k or Ryzen 7 3700X to Ryzen 7 3800XT ...
Tinkering with new stuff is fun!
But I agree, no sane person not caring about desktop PCs should move for just 16% uplift, but I have a feeing this is only part of the story and we might be surprised by efficiency gains on top of IPC gains.

I want to see this new family compared to predecessors in ECO mode, should be fun!

AMD should win in efficiency easily. If they don't that's two hype trains in a row derailed (RDNA3 being the last one). I just think that a lot of us were surprised since 20% was basically considered the minimum.
 

H433x0n

Golden Member
Mar 15, 2023
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AMD should win in efficiency easily. If they don't that's two hype trains in a row derailed (RDNA3 being the last one). I just think that a lot of us were surprised since 20% was basically considered the minimum.
Based on what? the non existent perf/watt data in the presentation and lower base clocks?
 
Jun 4, 2024
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It's a vey vocal and very, very tiny minority who wants the increase in core counts on the consumer platform. Just look at sales for the current 16c. Appreciate you say you need it, but it's not really AMD being stingy, it's more like no one would buy them. So why bother? To use it you need more memory channels, why lumber the majority with these higher costs?

If they can find better ways to improve performance that’s fine too. But single thread scaling isn’t great.

Also, halo products are always for a tiny minority. The point is that AMD is not pushing the envelope anymore, and stopped as soon as Intel stopped being a threat. They clearly know the have primacy, take a look at threadripper prices.
 

jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
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If they can find better ways to improve performance that’s fine too. But single thread scaling isn’t great.

Also, halo products are always for a tiny minority. The point is that AMD is not pushing the envelope anymore

Ah but they are... see the x3d models. There's no real point in pushing the core count envelope in desktop when it doesn't help gaming much.
 
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Thunder 57

Platinum Member
Aug 19, 2007
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Based on what? the non existent perf/watt data in the presentation and lower base clocks?

Based on recent history. Based on RPL burning so much power Intel had to provide guidelines for BIOS's so their top CPU's don't crash. Based on the fact that Lunar Lake and Arrow Lake won't come out until after Zen 5. Based on the fact that Zen 4 is already more efficient in almost every case. Take your pick.

It's called a speculation thread not a fact thread. Am I not allowed to make a prediction?
 

H433x0n

Golden Member
Mar 15, 2023
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Based on recent history. Based on RPL burning so much power Intel had to provide guidelines for BIOS's so their top CPU's don't crash. Based on the fact that Lunar Lake and Arrow Lake won't come out until after Zen 5. Based on the fact that Zen 4 is already more efficient in almost every case. Take your pick.

It's called a speculation thread not a fact thread. Am I not allowed to make a prediction?
How is RPL or Zen 4 relevant to next generation of competition? All major competitors are now at node parity. It’s a different competitive environment.
 

jamescox

Senior member
Nov 11, 2009
640
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There still is merely the old rumor of a 16 core complex, no public info from AMD.


AMD subsequently gave minor clarifications to the press. Renderings from AMD:

View attachment 100647View attachment 100648
Turin classic, up to 128 coresTurin dense, up to 192 cores

(source)
Thanks for the info. It has been unclear for a while whether the IO die actually had 12 or 16 GMI links. Perhaps with 16 they can actually make some dual link parts with 8 CCD. Someone else said somewhere that they never actually made a part using dual links to each CCD. If they only had 12 GMI links previously, then it wouldn't be that useful, since you could only do dual link (GMI-wide) with 4 CCD parts. The 4 CCD parts seem like they are too low end for that to be worthwhile.
 
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Jun 4, 2024
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Ah but they are... see the x3d models. There's no real point in pushing the core count envelope in desktop when it doesn't help gaming much.
Those are more interesting. I was a bit sad that 7950X3D didn’t have cache on both dies and and stability issues (and clock speed regression). When I built a rig for my sick friend, it was with the 7950X for those reasons.
 

JustViewing

Member
Aug 17, 2022
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I don’t know, I have 5950x, and 9950x will be something like 33% uplift on average. Not interesting to me for ~$1200 with mobo and ram. I was hoping AMD would continue the steep core count ramp, but they took the greedy path and only upgraded their most expensive parts (and jacked up threadripper prices). They’re turning into old intel and Nvidia.
Same here. AMD should introduce 9970x with 1 CCD Z5 X3D and 1 CCD with Z5c. However for some reason there seems to be so much resistance for increasing core count in this forum. For me 4 generations of 16 cores is not a smart decision by AMD.
 

dr1337

Senior member
May 25, 2020
385
639
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Just look at sales for the current 16c.
Price determines how many cores someone buys compared to absolute specs. If it cost as much to buy a brand new 8c cpu vs a 16c one, a lot of people would indeed prefer core count over a small amount of 1t gain.
To use it you need more memory channels, why lumber the majority with these higher costs?
This is literally a myth and for 99% of people running multi-core workloads or just trying to multi-task, the already high bandwidth of DDR5 is more than enough.

Its not like we see crazy performance gains with hyper-tuned memory outside of a few workloads. Reducing pressure on memory doesn't do that much. As such we see that customers would much rather buy V-cache CPUs that negate memory bottlenecks instead of spending 3x more than they would otherwise on super fancy ram that might not even be perfectly stable at desired speeds and timings.


It's a vey vocal and very, very tiny minority
Ultra high end ram tuning is even more niche than overclocking CPU/GPU. More cores would give significant gains across many workloads meanwhile ram tuning is basically only good for gaming and very niche and uncommon workloads.
 
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