Discussion Zen 5 Speculation (EPYC Turin and Strix Point/Granite Ridge - Ryzen 9000)

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Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,514
4,299
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Why do you always jump to anti-AMD conspiracy theories? I doubt he’s maliciously “tricking” the numbers to make AMD look bad.

SoC power is directly tied to memory kit and motherboard defaults. One could be using an Asus, the other Asrock both have different default vSoC target voltages. There’s a bunch of other explanations than a conspiracy.

I didnt say that it was voluntary but lack of care in the tests will amount to the same conclusions, indeed there s also weird things at Hardwareluxx as well, i would think they would have spoted the discrepancies, for the time let s say that
these are non finalized bios and set ups, we ll see in the 9900X/9950X reviews.

As to anti AMD theory just look at Computerbase previous MT tests since this one has been updtated for Zen 5 release, although they corrected the weird ST tests they still moved their MT scores in favour of Intel.

Now the 253W limited 14900K match the 7950X while in their previous MT scores the 320W unlimited one was 1% behind and at 253W it was 4-5% behind, of course it couldnt be the other way around, isnt it, but guess that most people didnt even notice the shift.
 

IEC

Elite Member
Super Moderator
Jun 10, 2004
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I pointed that out earlier in the thread as well:

Looking over the variance in some of the reviews, I would surmise the lower TDP (65W) is hurting some results more than others.
Why? Because it looks like some boards are putting unnecessarily high voltage on some rails (e.g. vSOC 1.25V+) which would subtract that much more power budget from the cores.

Your uncore is a decent percentage of 65W (88W PPT) while at higher power budgets the percentage becomes less significant. Seeing 9600X hit higher clocks both ST and MT versus 9700X shows the lower power budget is really hurting Zen 5 reviews and crimping scores (esp 9700X). Or leaving a lot more OC headroom (20%+ in some cases!) depending on your perspective.

I expect to see this clarified a bit next week when we see what Zen 5 will do out of the box for the higher TDP parts, especially the 9950X.

PC World pulled their launch day review because of this. They don't even know this is the reason.

They talked about how they got mysteriously 10% worse MT performane than the AMD reference data (and other reviews that came out), and after working with AMD to troubleshoot, the issue was enabling EXPO set VSOC to 1.25V when it should have been set to 1.2V. They expressed confusion at why or how this would have caused it, but confirmed that they are getting results more in line with what they should be after correcting it.

My analysis is this was causing the IOD power consumption to increase and consume more of the core power budget, hurting perf. This was especially apparent because of how power starved the cores are in the stock configuration..

Overall, I'm inclined to blame AMD for not giving motherboard makers and/or reviewers better guidance regarding vSOC and other uncore voltages as it appears there is more than the expected variance between mobo makers. 10% MT perf difference is a lot... that's basically minus one generation in performance.

Obviously, I'm expecting less impact on 9950X results simply because an extra 10W uncore usage will have much less impact when your TDP is 170W vs 65W.
 

Thibsie

Senior member
Apr 25, 2017
856
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And I still dunno if my 5600X will be replaced by 5800X3D or not. Probably not. Not in a hurry to upgrade to anything lol.
Those benchmarks results really don't try me to upgrade to AM5....
 

Josh128

Senior member
Oct 14, 2022
272
391
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I found it:
7600X:70
7700X:270
7900X:230
7950X:280
Indeed 850 for All 4. And this was already considered as very bad, ZEN4 sold like 1:5 to ZEN3 for the first 3-4 months until the price cuts came. Platform was expensive and gaming only on par with 5800X3D.

The worst part is that launch week sales aren't evenly spread. The majority comes during first hours because enthusiasts are waiting for the products. I can't recall it 100%, but I think ZEN4 had like 50, 200, 180, 210 at the first day and sales start at 3pm here in germany. So my guess is at Sunday evening both ZEN5 SKUs will still be below 20, 9600X maybe even below 10 depending on how many sold right now.
Surely launch pricing is an attempt to capitalize on early adopters. I expect at least a 10% haircut on ALL SKUs prior to Arrow Lake launch / X3D launch.
 

Fjodor2001

Diamond Member
Feb 6, 2010
3,989
440
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Surely launch pricing is an attempt to capitalize on early adopters. I expect at least a 10% haircut on ALL SKUs prior to Arrow Lake launch / X3D launch.
Yes, I'm also expecting price cuts.

Seems like the conclusion has been that people are currently not prepared to may much more for additional performance, so AMD tried to optimize perf/price with Zen5. Some milking of early adopters of course, but then price drops due to Arrow Lake DT, Zen5 X3D, etc.

The question is how long to wait until most of the price drops have materialized. 1, 3, 6, ... months?

Also, possibly AMD has something more in store for later before Zen6. Not sure what, but e.g. 24/32C SKUs. Or new IOD with better iGPU, NPU, and/or higher RAM speeds. But if so, that's likely 12+ months away.

I just cannot see that this is all we'll get with Zen5, so it'll be 4-5 years between Zen4 and Zen6 until there is meaningful perf increase, and nothing else to warrant purchasing in that time frame. That is unless they are counting on Win10 becoming obsolete soon (EOL in 2025) and people being forced to upgrade to Win12 compatible CPU, so that'll drive upgrades anyway. Therefore they can save perf improvements for Zen6, when that will be needed to drive upgrades in the following cycle.
 
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inquiss

Member
Oct 13, 2010
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Yes, I'm also expecting price cuts.

Seems like the conclusion has been that people are currently not prepared to may much more for additional performance, so AMD tried to optimize perf/price with Zen5. Some milking of early adopters of course, but then price drops due to Arrow Lake DT, Zen5 X3D, etc.

The question is how long to wait until most of the price drops have materialized. 1, 3, 6, ... months?

Also, possibly AMD has something more in store for later before Zen6. Not sure what, but e.g. 24/32C SKUs. Or new IOD with better iGPU, NPU, and/or higher RAM speeds. But if so, that's likely 12+ months away.

I just cannot see that this is all we'll get with Zen5, so it'll be 4-5 years between Zen4 and Zen6 until there is meaningful perf increase, and nothing else to warrant purchasing in that time frame. That is unless they are counting on Win10 becoming obsolete soon (EOL in 2025) and people being forced to upgrade to Win12 compatible CPU, so that'll drive upgrades anyway. Therefore they can save perf improvements for Zen6, when that will be needed to drive upgrades in the following cycle.
They won't be launching higher count CPUs on AM5. Broken record but people keep suggesting an idea without merit
 

Fjodor2001

Diamond Member
Feb 6, 2010
3,989
440
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They won't be launching higher count CPUs on AM5. Broken record but people keep suggesting an idea without merit
Who knows, we'll see. It's just an option, but something will be needed anyway. 4-5 years between Zen4 and Zen6 with nothing else than what we've seen so far just won't do. That is unless we'll see substantial price cuts along the way.
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,514
4,299
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Zen 5 also doesn’t seem much more efficient than Zen 4 like everyone is saying when we compare the 9700x and the 7700.

View attachment 104954View attachment 104953
Of course since efficiency is traded for more performance than the 7700, but if you set the 9700X at same perf than the 7700 it would consume about 60W vs 80W for the 7700, so 30% better efficency at isoperf, that s remarkable given that the core is much bigger and the node jump relatively modest.
 
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majord

Senior member
Jul 26, 2015
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AMD messed up calling this a 9700 X , there's also seemingly some issues at these lower TDP's and clock speeds which I don't get, that are compounding the odd performance. Seeing some wildly different All core clockspeeds.


When the ES 9950X results at different PPTs were going around ,it did not seem there was this much discrepancy at what would be the equivalent of around maybe 120 or so watt with a 16 core. Though there was a trend towards that at very low powers.



 

lucasworais

Junior Member
Dec 11, 2022
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Of course since efficiency is traded for more performance than the 7700, but if you set the 9700X at same perf than the 7700 it would consume about 60W vs 80W for the 7700, so 30% better efficency at isoperf, that s remakable given that the core is much bigger and the node jump relatively modest.
Not really. It has a 5% advantage in pts/w over the 7700 on CB nT.
 
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CouncilorIrissa

Senior member
Jul 28, 2023
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Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,514
4,299
136
I completely doubt that graph.

We ll have to wait for confirmations, what is odd is that Computerbase had the 9700X idle power at 27W, wich is excessive, and if the CPU use only 60W then it means that the cores are fed with only 33W.

On the other hand the 7700 use about the same power but they measured its idle power at 13-14W, wich would amount to 46W for the cores and hence 40% more cores power than the 9700X.

What is even more weird is that Hardwareluxx measured 14W idle power but got the same CB 2024 score, wich after all is possible since there s enough power headroom left for the Computerbase sample, but that would mean that Hardwareluxx sample did use only 47W overall in CB 2024, wich is dubbious, so possibly that we ll have revised reviews next week when they test the bigger boys.
 

Rheingold

Member
Aug 17, 2022
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We ll have to wait for confirmations, what is odd is that Computerbase had the 9700X idle power at 27W, wich is excessive, and if the CPU use only 60W then it means that the cores are fed with only 33W.
No, the 60W number is for the cores, without SOC. Add the 27W and some change for the correct 88W PPT in total.

And yes, the 27W indeed seems excessive, considering they used RAM at JEDEC timings, so the memory controller should not be in OC mode.
 

poke01

Golden Member
Mar 8, 2022
1,983
2,509
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No, the 60W number is for the cores, without SOC. Add the 27W for 87W in total.
yep. Look at PC Watch, it adds up. No need to wait.

 
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Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,514
4,299
136
The TPU review has the 7700 using slightly less power pretty much across the board. Both are using more than 60W in CB 2024 nT.


They measure power at the 12V CPU power rail, so that include the VRMs losses wich are about 10-12%, so their CB run is at 65W or so, that s comparable to Computerbase s 60W.
No, the 60W number is for the cores, without SOC. Add the 27W and some change for the correct 88W PPT in total.

And yes, the 27W indeed seems excessive, considering they used RAM at JEDEC timings, so the memory controller should not be in OC mode.
That s the full Soc power since they get about 90W peaks in Blender, previously they always used the CPU package power, wich include the uncore.

Indeed their methodology is curious, they measure the power with Blender at mid test, peak value and minimal value, there s something flawed here because they get the 7700 minimal power at 24W while in all their previous reviews it was about half this value.
 
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