Question Zen 6 Speculation Thread

Page 72 - Seeking answers? Join the AnandTech community: where nearly half-a-million members share solutions and discuss the latest tech.

Hulk

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 1999
5,062
3,548
136
And yet Zen3 and Zen4 were each bigger IPC increases than Zen2 was.
Yes that is true but you have to look where the bar was. Intel was ahead back then and AMD was simply catching up. AMD had some low hanging fruit left, Intel had picked most of their by the time Raptor Lake came around.

My point is that AMD did quite a bit of catching up because they were so far behind.

Now we have Lion Cove and Zen 5 and outside of gaming (and Intel's memory/latency issues with LC/tiles) they are very close in IPC. I will be super impressed if either one can make a jump significantly better than the other. They'll both get something around 5% IPC or so next gen from architectural improvements. If one "fails" it'll be because they get 3% and the other gets 7%. You'll see.

Or I'll see and you'll be right! Either way it'll be a fun reveal!
 

gdansk

Diamond Member
Feb 8, 2011
4,040
6,659
136
Yes that is true but you have to look where the bar was. Intel was ahead back then and AMD was simply catching up. AMD had some low hanging fruit left, Intel had picked most of their by the time Raptor Lake came around.

My point is that AMD did quite a bit of catching up because they were so far behind.

Now we have Lion Cove and Zen 5 and outside of gaming (and Intel's memory/latency issues with LC/tiles) they are very close in IPC. I will be super impressed if either one can make a jump significantly better than the other. They'll both get something around 5% IPC or so next gen from architectural improvements. If one "fails" it'll be because they get 3% and the other gets 7%. You'll see.

Or I'll see and you'll be right! Either way it'll be a fun reveal!
If they both fail that hard they simply will not be competitive for consumer workloads.
 

adroc_thurston

Diamond Member
Jul 2, 2023
5,401
7,572
96
What do you mean client workloads don't matter?
They don't matter enough for AMD to design a core around them.
Fat 3M L2 would be a boon for client stuff, yet you ain't getting any L2 bumps until like 2028 (generously).
AMD sticks to their guns in CPU and GFX, generally speaking.
 

inquiss

Senior member
Oct 13, 2010
352
527
136
One
I'm confused. Zen 4 to 5 and Raptor Cove to Lion Cove brought less than 10% IPC gains (a lot less for LC). Clocks were also stagnant. This is the latest data/generation, which support my low hanging fruit opinion.

We shall see if the next generation bring a 20%+ IPC gain and increased frequency. The last generation was only "cleaning up the edges."

I WANT to be proved wrong! I hate this reality.
I don't think one data point makes a trend. How many other duff generations have there been before future generations just the myth. Every Intel generation since sandy bridge?

Zen 6 will likely use 2nm. That node can get increased frequency by using fin flex. More clock speed for everyone! But also my further point is that each scaling law might be showing marginal gains while others are about to take over in importance. New materials. Backside power delivery. 3D stacking. Bridge chips. There are other ways to more performance now, that didn't exist before.
 

inquiss

Senior member
Oct 13, 2010
352
527
136
The difference being that in the past, transistor budget and power budget doubled every 18 months. It is quite easy to get a large boost when you have wider everything, and deeper everything, and more complex logic everything over the previous generation.

Today, we are seeing what? 15% higher density per generation? .... and even this only after 3 years. Additionally, the cost of going from one node to another is on an exponential curve, so that 3 years may soon look more like 6 years.

I could be wrong, but I think the days of big gains every generation are over for good.
More avenues to scaling exist now, for performance. Also... On the topic of dnsity. Have a look at the latest RDNA4 density numbers vs RDNA3. Big gains still have been found. Though that's not the main point, which is that there are more ways to eek out performance.

Cost is going up, so have to be smarter about when to use bleeding edge and when not to. What will new materials bring. Glass substrates. Optical conputing. More to come...
 

inquiss

Senior member
Oct 13, 2010
352
527
136
a) nanoflex
b) not free

Not really.
Didn't say it was free... Costs are going up right now, though they are being kept in check, to a degree, by 3D integration. I expect usage of mixed nodes to increase in the future to continue to (partly) offset costs. My points are more about scaling generally, rather than scaling at fixed cost.
 

GTracing

Senior member
Aug 6, 2021
450
1,046
106
Did they also increase core count and frequency, and to which extent
Frequency yes, core count no. But they also added 3D V-cache, and achieved 20% IPC per generation with only one node jump between the two of them.

I don't think there's any reason why they can't do 20% IPC and higher core counts in the same generation. It's not like adding cores takes a bunch engineering resources that would otherwise be spent arch improvements. The only thing that could hold them back is transistor budget, but they've managed to get huge improvements with small size increases before.
 

yuri69

Senior member
Jul 16, 2013
633
1,096
136
Now we have Lion Cove and Zen 5 and outside of gaming (and Intel's memory/latency issues with LC/tiles) they are very close in IPC. I will be super impressed if either one can make a jump significantly better than the other.
Look at Apple silicon.

They have kept their IPC at a very different level compared to the rest of vendors - ARM, x86, RISC-V, etc. - for years. Sure, they go for cutting edge processes, cutting edge memory integration, etc. Also Apple doesn't design the core around a horribly broad set of workloads like x86 do.

Just image all the traces and their weights... AMD caters workloads including handhelds-ultrabooks-laptops-desktop replacements-desktops-dense servers-regular servers-HPC servers. That's simply horrible.
 
Reactions: Tlh97

GTracing

Senior member
Aug 6, 2021
450
1,046
106
They don't matter enough for AMD to design a core around them.
Fat 3M L2 would be a boon for client stuff, yet you ain't getting any L2 bumps until like 2028 (generously).
AMD sticks to their guns in CPU and GFX, generally speaking.
I mean, I don't necessarily disagree, but I don't think gdansk was suggesting that they do.
 

Hulk

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 1999
5,062
3,548
136
It is if the OS has constrains due to legacy reasons.
Exactly. It is meaningless to compare the IPC of one processor running a different OS and appication code base to another completely different CPU on a different OS running a different code base for the application.

If the Apple IPC wants to make you move to that ecosystem then fine go have at it and leave x86 behind.

But to compare the two would be like comparing the efficiency of air travel to trains to automobiles. They are comparable only in the sense that you pick the best option for you but you don't put down automobiles for not being trains or planes or vice-versa. You compare within a category. This category is x86 and more specifically Zen 6.

You can throw stones from the Apple side of the road to the x86 side all day long but at the end of the day you're still on the other side of the road.
 

DisEnchantment

Golden Member
Mar 3, 2017
1,773
6,750
136
Saying that IPC is reduced by the operating system is like saying that my car's horsepower goes down when your mom gets in. The power isn't reduced, there's just a heavier load so it goes slower.
how about GRUB_CMDLINE_LINUX_DEFAULT="quiet splash mitigations=off" and GRUB_CMDLINE_LINUX_DEFAULT="quiet splash mitigations=auto"?
 

GTracing

Senior member
Aug 6, 2021
450
1,046
106
how about GRUB_CMDLINE_LINUX_DEFAULT="quiet splash mitigations=off" and GRUB_CMDLINE_LINUX_DEFAULT="quiet splash mitigations=auto"?
That's still just changing the software that's running on the CPU. It doesn't change the number instructions that the CPU is capable of executing in a clock cycle. IPC by definition refers to the hardware capabilities, not software.
 

poke01

Diamond Member
Mar 8, 2022
3,394
4,639
106
Exactly. It is meaningless to compare the IPC of one processor running a different OS and appication code base to another completely different CPU on a different OS running a different code base for the application.

If the Apple IPC wants to make you move to that ecosystem then fine go have at it and leave x86 behind.

But to compare the two would be like comparing the efficiency of air travel to trains to automobiles. They are comparable only in the sense that you pick the best option for you but you don't put down automobiles for not being trains or planes or vice-versa. You compare within a category. This category is x86 and more specifically Zen 6.

You can throw stones from the Apple side of the road to the x86 side all day long but at the end of the day you're still on the other side of the road.
Here is where I would disagree. Operating Systems do not make a difference to the CPU IPC nor to its performance drastically. Macs when on Intel had the exact same IPC and performance as macOS when the CPUs were tested on Windows on the same Mac.

Likewise on Linux vs Windows. If a CPU is slower on Windows than Linux it’s because optimisation or a special flag is turned on Linux. Inherently, barring Linux distros that optimise for Zen. Operating systems do not make a difference. I mean I daily drive Windows 11 and CachyOS and there’s barely any noticeable performance difference.


No ones telling to switch to Apple. Most who mention others like RISC-V or ARM are saying it’s not the end of the road for single threaded performance for x86. After all if ISA doesn’t matter, then x86 still has major growth.
 

Nothingness

Diamond Member
Jul 3, 2013
3,280
2,332
136
sale-70-410-exam    | Exam-200-125-pdf    | we-sale-70-410-exam    | hot-sale-70-410-exam    | Latest-exam-700-603-Dumps    | Dumps-98-363-exams-date    | Certs-200-125-date    | Dumps-300-075-exams-date    | hot-sale-book-C8010-726-book    | Hot-Sale-200-310-Exam    | Exam-Description-200-310-dumps?    | hot-sale-book-200-125-book    | Latest-Updated-300-209-Exam    | Dumps-210-260-exams-date    | Download-200-125-Exam-PDF    | Exam-Description-300-101-dumps    | Certs-300-101-date    | Hot-Sale-300-075-Exam    | Latest-exam-200-125-Dumps    | Exam-Description-200-125-dumps    | Latest-Updated-300-075-Exam    | hot-sale-book-210-260-book    | Dumps-200-901-exams-date    | Certs-200-901-date    | Latest-exam-1Z0-062-Dumps    | Hot-Sale-1Z0-062-Exam    | Certs-CSSLP-date    | 100%-Pass-70-383-Exams    | Latest-JN0-360-real-exam-questions    | 100%-Pass-4A0-100-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-300-135-exams-date    | Passed-200-105-Tech-Exams    | Latest-Updated-200-310-Exam    | Download-300-070-Exam-PDF    | Hot-Sale-JN0-360-Exam    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Exams    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-JN0-360-exams-date    | Exam-Description-1Z0-876-dumps    | Latest-exam-1Z0-876-Dumps    | Dumps-HPE0-Y53-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-HPE0-Y53-Exam    | 100%-Pass-HPE0-Y53-Real-Exam-Questions    | Pass-4A0-100-Exam    | Latest-4A0-100-Questions    | Dumps-98-365-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-98-365-Exam    | 100%-Pass-VCS-254-Exams    | 2017-Latest-VCS-273-Exam    | Dumps-200-355-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-300-320-Exam    | Pass-300-101-Exam    | 100%-Pass-300-115-Exams    |
http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    | http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    |