Zen delayed to 2017 (DigiTimes)

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deasd

Senior member
Dec 31, 2013
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Didn't the same guy claim that Bristol Ridge will contain 1024 GPU cores (16 CU) and that Bristol Ridge supports DDR4-3600?

He never say BR will have but WOULD have more CUs, but later he clarified it COULD be another SKUs which isn't for desktop.
IIRC he's the first that claimed AM4 has 1331 pins and has different dimension. He is one of a best source in the past several months. Better than any other who is self-righteous especially in these noisy forums.
 

sirmo

Golden Member
Oct 10, 2011
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1. It's possible that supply is low precisely because of those additional products. Regardless, I cannot stress this enough, I am NOT saying the article is true. I am simply explaining how a theoretical situation in which supply is low, which THEY suggest is true, could cause the chips to be delayed. Please, if you carefully read anything at all today, make it this paragraph.

2. No it doesn't. Jesus, what are you reading? In no way does it draw a line between supply constraints and low demand from OEMs. Those are two ENTIRELY different things. OEMs having enough stock of CPUs is a totally distinct concept from the ability of upstream suppliers to supply materials in large enough quantities to support a launch. "Only high demand can cause low supply." No, dude, you're still not listening. I don't know why you're doing this. I really don't. But there are a million ways in which upstream suppliers can be constrained other than simply high OEM/retail demand. A crane could break at a mine, ffs. Why do you insist on pretending this is so simple? Why do you want to believe there are no more than like three factors involved?

3. Wrong, lol.
Not buying any of what you wrote. I am poking holes in a terribly written article, we all pretty much know is fake news. All you've done is defended it with conjecture.

Do you work for digitimes?
 

Sweepr

Diamond Member
May 12, 2006
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Didn't the same guy claim that Bristol Ridge will contain 1024 GPU cores (16 CU) and that Bristol Ridge supports DDR4-3600?

You can add a few more to the list: NVIDIA will only 'show' Pascal at Computex, GP104 can't handle 1440P or higher resolutions games, Zen taped-out in mid-2015, Intel only released Core i7-6950X due to their internal estimates of Zen, and so on...
 

The Stilt

Golden Member
Dec 5, 2015
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He never say BR will have but WOULD have more CUs, but later he clarified it COULD be another SKUs which isn't for desktop.
IIRC he's the first that claimed AM4 has 1331 pins and has different dimension. He is one of a best source in the past several months. Better than any other who is self-righteous especially in these noisy forums.

I don't know the history of this guy or the site he owns (?), but most of the stuff I've seen recently from the site / guy appear to be... well manure.

Many of the more accurate info seem to be second hand.

For example, the one regarding AM4: http://www.overclock.net/t/1588749/...r-excavator-says-lisa-su/450_50#post_24890985
 

deasd

Senior member
Dec 31, 2013
567
922
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I don't know the history of this guy or the site he owns (?), but most of the stuff I've seen recently from the site / guy appear to be... well manure.

Many of the more accurate info seem to be second hand.

For example, the one regarding AM4: http://www.overclock.net/t/1588749/...r-excavator-says-lisa-su/450_50#post_24890985

I searched and confirmed this site(not this guy) is the first site that report pin counts. Maybe they didn't even bother what they knew is already known/leaked by any person. http://www.bitsandchips.it/52-english-news/6773-am4-socket-will-be-uopga-and-it-will-have-1331-pins AM4 mounting holes http://www.bitsandchips.it/english/...holes-arranged-differently-than-older-sockets

Zen taped-out in mid-2015
I found nothing about this on the web.
Intel only released Core i7-6950X due to their internal estimates of Zen, and so on...
This could not be called a leak......just carrying some private 'guesstimation'.
 
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Sweepr

Diamond Member
May 12, 2006
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I found nothing about this on the web.

I did.

This could not be called a leak......just carrying some private 'guesstimation'.

Not at all. He said that part of the April Fool's article was true.

''Also, the part of the news about Intel is true: Intel will commercialize a Broadwell-E 10 cores due to their internal Zen estimated performances. Are Athlon64 times come back?''

This implies Intel needs the 10C/20T model to stay on top.
 

Doom2pro

Senior member
Apr 2, 2016
587
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wicka said:
Slugger, that's not how journalism has ever worked, anywhere, in the entire history of human civilization.

Per wikipedia:

In journalism, a source is a person, publication, or other record or document that gives timely information
And if you dig down, the last bit of information is from... Digitimes... Shocker.

They don't have any source, references, nothing... Just FUD, which is getting them clicks... Mission Accomplished.

Sorry but I'm still not convinced Zen is late.
 
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Mar 10, 2006
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They don't have any source, references, nothing... Just FUD, which is getting them clicks... Mission Accomplished.

Why do you say this? Just because DigiTimes says something that you don't like doesn't mean they don't have sources.
 

sirmo

Golden Member
Oct 10, 2011
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A shameful suggestion from a person who isn't willing to admit they simply misunderstood something.
I have always maintained that I don't understand the article, that's been my point all along. The article makes zero sense.

You are however trying to make sense of it and failing miserably in the process.
 

Doom2pro

Senior member
Apr 2, 2016
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The simple fact of the matter is that news articles of this sort literally never include their sources. These are people speaking out who do not have permission to speak on behalf of their organizations, people under NDA, etc. They are anonymous sources and they are obviously not going to be identified. This is elementary, dude, and your misunderstanding of this concept is absolutely baffling.

I'm not asking you to trust DigiTimes. I'm asking you to understand that you are expecting something outrageous from them. Scroll down on your Wikipedia article: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Journalism#Right_to_protect_confidentiality_of_sources

Expecting a "Sourced from inside AMD" or a "Insider sources say" is outrageous?

Guess what man, news from inside AMD that they are delaying Zen days after telling everyone it's on time is MORE valuable click bait than making it up, and there aren't any whispers of lying going on so that pretty much narrows it down.
 
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krumme

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 2009
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I have always maintained that I don't understand the article, that's been my point all along. The article makes zero sense.

Yes. Its utter nonsense from a business perspective. Zen delayed because bulldozer in stock. Who in their sane minds beliewe such crap. Its like saying we dont want revenue and profit. Like bd is in a similar situation to skylake. Lol.

Zen migt perfectly be delayed and in short supply looking a gf awfull peformance and lack of other partners or whatever but the reason displayed in this so called "article" is absolutely the least possible on this planet. I cant find a worse explanation. Crap journalism.
 
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Doom2pro

Senior member
Apr 2, 2016
587
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Why do you say this? Just because DigiTimes says something that you don't like doesn't mean they don't have sources.

They haven't listed any, no mentions of where the information came from, nothing about "Sources from inside AMD", or "Industry experts tell us", etc...

As I said above, if AMD said days before it is on time, and then suddenly REAL sources are saying it was all a lie, THAT would be the headline, AMD Lies during Computex!

Instead we get a quiet, sourceless, reference-less news blurb with click-bait headline that screams made up FUD.

You are entitled to believe what you want, I however am not falling for it, and if you look around the various Zen forums, most people feel the same.
 
Aug 11, 2008
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Wow, so much outrage and defensiveness over a single article. I have no idea if it is true. If not, then it is just another unfounded tech article. Wont be the first or the last. Zen was not even scheduled until late 2016, so the "delay" if true is only a couple of months anyway. Hardly worth getting so worked up about.
 

Dresdenboy

Golden Member
Jul 28, 2003
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citavia.blog.de
Wow, so much outrage and defensiveness over a single article. I have no idea if it is true. If not, then it is just another unfounded tech article. Wont be the first or the last. Zen was not even scheduled until late 2016, so the "delay" if true is only a couple of months anyway. Hardly worth getting so worked up about.

+1

Maybe it's time to bring upt my early take on the release date based on GCC patch timing:
 

DrMrLordX

Lifer
Apr 27, 2000
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Look, the article is poorly-sourced and has sketchy justifications for the claim being made. And sorry but the default conclusion that most people come to when reading that article is that digitimes suggests alleged Zen delays are caused by excess Vishera stock.

I specifically asked about the possibility of Zen delays being caused by an excess of Intel CPUs in the channel, which is in-and-of itself silly since that implies that the channel is holding too many HEDT CPUs.

If Digitimes wanted anyone to believe them, they could bust out a few credible (or even anonymous, though they could fabricate those as well) quotes or provide some attributions. Maybe they're right, but as it is, we're left to fill in the gaps left wide open by their dearth of hard information.

Not that this would be the first time some Internet writer did all the same things in writing an article.
 

SK10H

Member
Jun 18, 2015
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I don't think there is a single person in here who actually cares about this article, adamantly believes it's true, or is defending DigiTimes in any way. All I'm saying is that the idea of demand for CPUs at OEMs being low is quite obviously, objectively, and undeniable an event that could possibly occur. And for a bunch of morons to show up and spam the thread with invented nonsense like "WHY WOULD AMD DELAY BECAUSE OF BULLDOZER," a thing that no one suggested, is just frustrating as all hell. Why can't we have this discussion without trolls, without liars, without people who sit at their keyboards all day fabricating reasons to be angry?

Honestly, read the last few pages, look at how many idiots wrote something like "it makes no sense for AMD to delay Zen in order to sell Bulldozer stock." Then go back further and see if you can find anyone who suggested such a thing.

The problem I see is you are taking what the articles wrote as if everything they have is undeniably true and do not question their conclusion given their limited «fabricated?» info they stated.

AMD has specifically said 2016 early volume. If any material to AMD is in short supplies, Zen takes precedence over anything else. Manufacturer regularly engage in supplies/price hedging to ensure they get their supplies or cost locked and be available. iPhone release date is like clock work these day. The console deal are also made aware to all stakeholders well in advance. These are not a shock to those involved in the supply chain.

Since early volume is limited, they are unlikely enough to feed the over-fed low demand OEM. Hence, AMD can release it only to the DIY market in late 2016. It's not a requirement to sell Zen along with OEM at the same time, again given the early volume statement by the CEO and to satisfy what the company goal in Jan.
The conclusion they reach for Zen delay whether it's caused by supplies chain or low demand OEM is BS. Therefore, it's more likely to be a click bait article.
 

coercitiv

Diamond Member
Jan 24, 2014
6,630
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Again, I cannot stress this enough, and I will not say this again: I am not vouching for DigiTimes. I have no reason to believe what they say is true. But it is EASILY a plausible situation. Nothing about the scenario they describe is unlikely.
I would really like the more experienced forum members (people who know the industry) to shed some light on this subject: I can understand how Intel would hold off launching a new product that is at best an incremental update of their current lineup, but for AMD to delay launching a new product they desperately need to improve their standing because of upstream channel saturation seems very unlikely to me.

I understand the plausibility but I fail to see correlation. In the first stage they need Zen for the headlines, not the OEM sales.
 
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